AUDL Historical Team Rankings
The First Decade: 2012-2021

9Ware's AUDL Net Statistical Power Index (Net SPI) rankings are based on our proprietary mathematical analysis of the results from all 1284 games played during the the first decade of the American Ultimate Disc League.
See The Math  |  AUDL Website  |  AUDL Wiki

AUDL Team Net SPI Rankings [2012-2021]
# Team Div Team SPI Div SPI Net SPI
1 Toronto Rush East 79.17 59.11 81.00
2 Dallas Legion South 73.25 53.05 73.86
3 Carolina Flyers South 69.49 53.05 70.10
4 Madison Radicals Cent 73.42 29.39 69.30
5 SF Flamethrowers West 67.09 45.98 66.28
6 NY Empire East 58.42 59.11 60.25
7 Oakland Spiders West 59.12 45.98 58.31
8 Atlanta Hustle South 57.34 53.05 57.96
9 LA Aviators West 57.69 45.98 56.88
10 DC Breeze East 54.44 59.11 56.26
11 Seattle Cascades West 53.25 45.98 52.45
12 Indianapolis Alleycats Cent 56.38 29.39 52.26
13 Minnesota Windchill Cent 55.30 29.39 51.18
14 Pittsburgh Thunderbirds Cent 55.25 29.39 51.13
15 Chicago Union Cent 53.50 29.39 49.38
16 Austin Sol South 48.20 53.05 48.81
17 San Diego Growlers West 49.61 45.98 48.81
18 Vancouver Riptide West 48.57 45.98 47.77
19 Tampa Bay Cannons South 44.49 53.05 45.10
20 Ottawa Outlaws East 42.97 59.11 44.80
21 Montréal Royal East 42.80 59.11 44.63
22 Philadelphia Phoenix East 22.92 59.11 24.75
23 Nashville Nightwatch South 22.60 53.05 23.21
24 Cincinnati Revolution Cent 20.22 29.39 16.10
25 Rochester Dragons East 13.47 59.11 15.29
26 Detroit Mechanix Cent 9.42 29.39 5.30
Teams not included (fewer than 50 games played through 2021)
Current Teams: Boston Glory, Colorado Summit, Portland Nitro, Salt Lake Shred
Past Teams: Charlotte Express, Columbus Cranes, Connecticut Constitution, NJ Hammerheads, Philadelphia Spinners, Rhode Island Rampage, Salt Lake City Lions

How We Did It

Short Answer: We used a combination of the Monte Carlo method and Poisson Distribution analysis to simulate results from 5000 home and 5000 away games for each of the 26 AUDL teams against "Statistical Average" AUDL away and home teams, respectively. For each of these 260,000 simulations we used final scores sampled from normal distributions of the chosen and average teams to fill a 50x50 bivariate Poisson grid of all possible final scores based on a scoring rate of each of those scores over a 48-minute (regulation non-overtime) game. The calculated probabilities in each cell of the grid were then compiled to determine the overall probability of a win, loss or tie by the chosen team in each simulation. Games were weighted equally regardless of season, with all postseason games counting double.

Long Answer: Click here for all the details ↓
We also included for reference the full historical won-loss results (home, away and overall) of all AUDL teams.
Published: 20 Jan 2022, by Don Grage
Based on all AUDL game results through the 2021 season